Growth, Decomposition, and Instability Analysis of Pearl Millet in Jodhpur Region and Rajasthan, India

Aims: The main purpose of this study was to examine the growth, instability and source of output growth in area, production and productivity of pearl millet in Jodhpur & Barmer districts, Jodhpur Region and entire Rajasthan.

Study Design: The present study was completely based on secondary time series data.

Place & Duration of Study: This study area was covered to Jodhpur & Barmer districts, Jodhpur Region and entire Rajasthan. The entire study period was divided into three sub-periods viz., period-I (2006-07 to 2013-14), Period-II (2014-15 to 2021-22) and Overall period (2006-07 to 2021-22).

Methodology: The time series data were analyzed using statistical tools exponential growth model, Cuddy-Della Valle instability index and Minhas & Vaidyanthan decomposition model to accomplish the study’s objectives.

Results: The results of the study indicated that highest growth rate were observed in the productivity (36.20%) and production (30.83%) of pearl millet in Barmer district during period-I. The maximum variability was observed in production (77.88%) and productivity (77.30%) of pearl millet in Barmer district during period-II. The yield effect (300.43%) was reported as major contributor to boost-up the production of pearl millet in selected study area. The state government should establish Agri-Export Zones for millet crops in the state.

Conclusion: The highest growth rate was recorded in pearl millet’s productivity in Barmer district. The highest instability was reported in production of pearl millet in Barmer district. Yield effect was major source of output growth in production of pearl millet in Barmer district.